What’s $21 Billion Among Friends?

Earlier this week I wrote that California might be facing a $20 Billion Deficit. You’ll be happy to know I was wrong. The Legislative Analyst (LAO) released his official forecast today; he projects a $20.7 Billion deficit for the next 18 months.

Republicans vow no new taxes. Democrats vow no spending cuts. The LAO says that increasing taxes in a recession isn’t a good idea, but that revenue enhancements are needed:

Just as the Legislature will have to prioritize its spending commitments, we continue to recommend that it do the same on the revenue side. Through tax expenditure programs—special credits, deductions, and exemptions—the state provides subsidies to certain groups or individuals in ways that often have not been shown to be cost-effective. Their modification or elimination raises revenues without having to increase marginal tax rates. The Legislature should also look to increasing fees in those cases where the costs of state programs currently supported by the General Fund can appropriately be shifted to specific beneficiaries.

The LAO also notes that expenditures will need to be cut, and that long-term solutions are needed:

The budget problems we predict are long-term in nature. They will not go away quickly. Accordingly, long-term solutions are needed. The Legislature should focus on actions that have ongoing impacts.

Of course, most of the solutions the Legislature has recently enacted have been gimmicks, smoke and mirrors that look good until the numbers have to be tallied again.

Yesterday, I heard Orange County Register columnist Mark Landsbaum talk about California’s ongoing budget fiasco. I joked to him that the Legislature would be forcing Californians to pay their 2017 taxes in 2015 in order to balance the budget. Not so strangely, Mr. Landsbaum thought that might actually happen.

What’s needed is the elimination of programs that the state can’t afford. California needs to match spending to revenues, and eliminate pork barrel government spending. Mr. Landsbaum noted in a recent op-ed piece that the proposed fix to the California water crisis would only make things work. He concludes,

Admittedly, at this stage cutting the knot of government involvement and special-interest payoffs is a monumental task. It’s something that requires men and women of principle, rather than compromisers. As a society obsessed with consensus, we may be beyond making such a hard decision, conditioned as we are to living at the expense of someone else.

The reality of taxes is that all of the money being spent by Sacramento (and by Washington D.C.) is our money. Yet in Sacramento the politicians and bureaucrats treat the tax revenues as their money. That attitude needs to change. Once it does, I believe solutions to the budget crisis will quickly be found. Unfortunately, the chance of that changing in Sacramento in the next few months is somewhere between slim and nil.

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Knocked Out From New York

I’m not a boxing fan. For those of you who are, you’ll recognize Manny Pacquiao and Floyd Mayweather Jr. as big names in the sport. Those two boxers will fight in the Spring of 2010.

Newsday asked boxing promoter Bob Arum if Yankee Stadium was being looked at for the fight. “No chance,” Arum told Newsday. “Nothing would please me more than to have it at Yankee Stadium, but the way the tax structure in New York is set up, it’s impossible.”

Taxes matter. Apparently the prime candidate for the match is the new Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Texas, of course, doesn’t have a state income tax.

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A Front-Runner for Tax Offender of the Year

We’re just six weeks away from the end of 2009, and it’s almost time for me to scour the news of the year to find the Tax Offender of the Year. It takes a lot to win this award; the tax offense must be on the Bozo side of things.

Well, a news story from Sausalito grabbed my attention this evening. Mark Anderson had a wine storage business called “Sausalito Cellars.” He offered his clients safekeeping for their wines. He utilized a warehouse on Mare Island, a former US Navy base. So far, so good.

But Mr. Anderson, a former city commissioner in Sausalito, wanted to live the good life. He allegedly embezzled some of the pricey bottles of wine he was supposedly safekeeping. Eventually, he was charged in early 2005 by the Marin County District Attorney of committing fraud and embezzlement; that case is still pending. He allegedly sold bottles of wine he was safekeeping to raise $800,000.

While that case was pending he was evicted from the warehouse on Mare Island. How could he get back at the warehouse? And how could he stave off an investigation into tax evasion? Hiring an attorney and working with the IRS is too mundane; instead, let’s burn down the warehouse (arson), and cover the tracks.

Yes, that’s exactly what he did. The fire, on October 12, 2005, destroyed an estimated $200 million worth of wine, put some wineries permanently out of business, and destroyed several collections of wine. And while some of the evidence of the alleged fraud might have been burned, plenty of evidence apparently existed for the arson and the tax evasion. Earlier today, Mr. Anderson pleaded guilty to 19 counts in federal court in Sacramento (including arson, tax evasion, and embezzlement). In return for the plea the US Attorney has agreed to a sentence of 15 years, 8 months. Mr. Anderson, who has already served three years, is unlikely to see anything but prison bars until he’s 70. He will also likely be ordered to make restitution of $200 million.

This is a crime that did nothing but destroy the livelihoods of others, and did nothing to divert suspicion from the original alleged crime of embezzlement. While Mr. Anderson’s attorney is hopeful that the District Attorney won’t prosecute him for embezzlement, it’s not clear whether he’ll be back in court in the future. Still, all the arson did was gain him time at ClubFed while still facing the original charges.

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Bondage Breakers Heading to Bondage

Back in March I reported on the founders of the Bondage Breakers Ministry. This ministry was different…quite different than the church or synagogue you may worship in. The founders, Lindsey Springer and Oscar Stilley, were praying for the elimination of the IRS, and to further that aim they decided not to file tax returns.

Well, they were charged with tax evasion and they were convicted today of Conspiracy to defraud the United States. They were doing the usual things to avoid taxes: trusts, cash, and the like.

It was all for naught. It would have been far simpler to just have paid their taxes…but that rarely occurs to tax evaders.

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$20 Billion Deficit a Possibility

After the three budget battles during the past 18 months, are Californians ready for the fourth installment of the state budget crunch next Spring? Like it or not, it’s coming.

This report notes that a $20 Billion is possible for next year. Democrats are already saying that nothing else can be cut; Republicans vow no new taxes.

The past few budgets have been balanced with smoke and mirrors. While there were some real spending cuts in the last budget, there were also the usual budgetary shenanigans. Several one-time moves (such as the increase in state withholding that began on November first) can’t be repeated. Or maybe they can; perhaps Democrats in Sacramento will propose that during 2010 we prepay our 2011 California income tax?

As long as we have state agencies trying to implement ridiculous regulations (such as the proposed regulations on LCD televisions), I’m certain there’s waste in Sacramento.

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Senator Reid Looking at Increasing Social Security, Medicare Taxes for the Wealthy

Senator Harry Reid (D-NV) is looking at increasing the Social Security and Medicare taxes for the wealthy per published reports from last week. Since President Obama has said he won’t increase taxes on those making less than $250,000, this would create the “doughnut” hole for the wealthy and the self-employed.

Consider, though, how stifling such taxes are on economic development. Small businesses are the driver of the economy. Studies show that over 80% of new jobs come from small businesses. Why would a small business expand when the government will just take more money?

The stated reason for the tax would be for health care. Frankly, the current Administration and the current Congressional leadership has little clue about economic development. The best result for the current health care legislation is the circular file. That said, I expect something to pass just so that the Administration can say they passed something.

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The Jock Tax Hits Poker Players

Back in 1991, the Chicago Bulls beat the Los Angeles Lakers in the NBA Finals. The Franchise Tax Board (California’s income tax agency) didn’t like the idea that the Bulls took the money and ran, so they implemented the first Jock Tax. This tax impacts non-resident entertainers and athletes. Illinois didn’t like the idea of California getting money without getting some of its own, so they retaliated with a Jock Tax of its own. Today, most states which have an income tax have a Jock Tax.

So where does poker fit in? Poker players who win $5,000 or more receive a W-2G. Suppose a resident of say, Ohio, goes to Iowa and wins $50,000 in a poker tournament? The lucky winner will receive his cash, and a W-2G noting his winnings. The IRS will get a copy of the record, the winner will include the winnings on his Ohio (and city, if applicable) income tax returns, and all will be well. Right?

Well, the IRS has data-sharing agreements with every state but Nevada. So the Iowa Department of Revenue will also get a copy of the lucky winner’s W-2G information. One, two, or three years down the road the lucky winner will get a notice from the Iowa Department of Revenue noting his requirement to file an Iowa tax return. With penalties and interest, of course!

Is Iowa correct about the need to file the return? Under current law, yes. The income was sourced from Iowa and, according to the Supreme Court, Iowa has a right to tax it. But I’m a resident of Ohio and this is double taxation, you think. Well, it isn’t fair but you can avoid double taxation. All states (with a state income tax) have a credit available for when you pay income tax to another state on income also taxed by your home state. In that way, you pay the higher of the two states’ income tax rates. (Note: Sometimes the credit is taken on the other state’s tax return.)

I’ve recently received a couple of inquiries from poker players hit by the Jock Tax. In both cases, the individuals received the notices years after the win. The Tax Foundation has an excellent study on this issue. Until the Jock Tax goes the way of the dinosaur, poker players who win a tournament outside of their home state may have to pay additional state income taxes.

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The Other Winners at the World Series of Poker, Part 2

There’s another part to the story of this year’s World Series of Poker main event winner: backing. And it has one tax agency smiling even more, while another will miss out on 50% of an unexpected bounty.

This year’s main event winner, Joseph Cada, was backed when he entered the main event of the World Series of Poker according to this news story in the Detroit News.

Backing is fairly common in large buy-in poker tournaments. Playing poker professionally, especially tournaments, involves a lot of what poker players call variance. No matter how good a player you are, sometimes luck is not with you. Your aces may lose to kings, as will happen about one in seven times. Most poker players do not have enough money in their bankrolls to handle the variance, so they seek investors who have large bankrolls to help finance their entries. In return, the investors demand a percentage of the player’s winnings.

Mr. Cada was backed by a pair of investors from New York, Eric Haber and Cliff Josephy. The pair will receive 50% of the winnings of Mr. Cada. That’s good news for the New York Department of Taxation and Finance which will receive an extra windfall of $383,335. It’s bad news for the Michigan Department of Treasury which loses $185,898.

Here are the adjusted numbers for the various tax agencies:

Amount won at Final Table $27,220,989
Tax to IRS $8,150,527
Tax to French Tax Agency $1,391,868
Tax to NY Dept of Taxation $743,492
Tax to MD Comptroller $319,637
Tax to MI Dept of Treasury $185,898
Total Taxes $10,791,421

That’s a total tax bite of 39.64%.

Here’s a second table with the winners sorted by their estimated take-home winnings:

Winner Before-Tax Prize After-Tax Prize
2. Darvin Moon $5,182,198 $3,067,595
1. Joseph Cada $4,273,521 $2,500,660
1A. Mr. Cada’s Backers $4,273,521 $2,292,210
3. Antoine Saout $3,479,670 $2,087,802
4. Eric Buchman $2,502,890 $1,332,123
5. Jeff Shulman $1,953,452 $1,281,757
9. James Akenhead $1,263,602 $1,263,602
7. Phil Ivey $1,404,014 $879,018
6. Steven Begleiter $1,587,160 $878,921
8. Kevin Schaffel $1,300,231 $845,150
Totals $27,220,259 $16,428,838

The New York Department of Taxation and Finance should send a thank you card to Mr. Cada. After all, he could have chosen backers from a state like Nevada (which has no income tax). Instead, because of Mr. Cada’s good fortune and his choice of backers, New York ends up with an extra $383,335. I’m sure the politicians will spend that money in two seconds or so….

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The Other Winners at the World Series of Poker

Nine individuals came to Las Vegas this past weekend to compete for the championship of the World Series of Poker. Who would be the lucky winner? And who really got to keep the money?

This year’s World Series of Poker concluded early this morning at the Rio Hotel and Casino in Las Vegas. The winner of the main event won $8,547,042 but would he actually end up with all that money?

A Michigander, Joseph Cada of Shelby Township, is this year’s champion. Mr. Cada is the youngest main event champion ever. Congratulations to him on his victory and his $8,547,042.

Let’s see how much of the prize Mr. Cada will actually keep. Mr. Cada is a professional gambler so he’ll have to pay self-employment tax. Michigan has a flat income tax of 4.3%. Michigan also has a business tax. However, given that Mr. Cada earned this income outside of Michigan it is unlikely that he will owe the Michigan business tax on this income. The business tax has both gross receipts (0.8%) and net income (4.95%) components, along with a surcharge of 21.99% of the business tax. This would effectively increase his Michigan tax rate from 4.3% to 11.31%. Again, I do not believe Mr. Cada will owe that tax and I am not including it in my estimate. Overall, I estimate Mr. Cada will owe $371,796 to the Michigan Department of Treasury. He’ll also owe about $3,184,940 to the IRS. His actual take-home winnings are $4,990,806—almost 42% of his winnings went to taxes.

Darvin Moon from Oakland, Maryland finished in second place. Amazingly enough, this was Mr. Moon’s first poker tournament. When he traveled to Las Vegas in July to participate in the first stage of the World Series it was the first time he had ever flown on a jet plane. Mr. Moon is part owner of a logging company and is an amateur gambler and won $5,182,190. I estimate that he will owe $1,794,966 to the IRS and $319,637 to the Maryland Comptroller of the Treasury. That’s an overall tax bite of just under 41%.

Antoine Saout of Saint Martin des Champs, France, finished in third place. The United States and France have a tax treaty; under this treaty the IRS will not get any of Mr. Saout’s winnings. France does tax gambling income and does tax the worldwide income of its citizens. The French income tax, like that in the United States, has progressive rates; Mr. Saout will owe 40% of his income in taxes. That works out to $1,391,868 of his $3,479,670 prize.

Eric Buchman of Hewlett, New York finished fourth. Mr. Buchman is a professional poker player, so he must pay self-employment tax as well as income tax. Of the $2,502,890 he won he’ll likely have to pay $949,618 to the IRS and $221,149 to the New York Department of Taxation and Finance. It’s likely I’m underestimating his New York Tax; because his income is over $500,000 Mr. Buchman will lose half of his itemized deductions. Mr. Buchman will lose at least 46.78% of his winnings to taxes. Mr. Buchman is the winner who will lose the most (by percentage) to tax.

Jeff Shulman, the publisher of CardPlayer Magazine, finished fifth for $1,953,452. Mr. Shulman is a resident of Las Vegas so he won’t owe any state income tax. He also is an amateur gambler, so he won’t owe self-employment tax. I estimate he’ll owe $671,695 to the IRS.

Sixth place went to another New Yorker, Steven Begleiter of Chappaqua. Mr. Begleiter, who use to work for Bear Stearns, won $1,587,160 for his efforts. Mr. Beglieter is an amateur, so he won’t have to pay self-employment tax. Still, he’ll likely owe $569,231 to the IRS and $139,008 to New York. That’s a 44.62% tax rate. The New York Department of Taxation and Finance is especially pleased with the performance of New Yorkers in the WSOP this year.

Finishing in seventh place was perhaps the most well known of the November Nine, Phil Ivey of Las Vegas. Mr. Ivey is a professional gambler, and is widely considered the best player in the world. However, even the best player doesn’t win every tournament he enters and Mr. Ivey must make do with $1,404,014 for finishing seventh. Of this prize money I estimate he’ll have to fork over $524,996 to the IRS.

The eighth place finisher was Kevin Schaffel of Coral Springs, Florida. Mr. Schaffel is a retired business owner. As a Floridian, he doesn’t have to deal with state income tax. He’s an amateur gambler, so he also doesn’t have to worry about self-employment tax. I estimate that the IRS will grab 35% of his $1,300,231 prize, or $455,081.

James Akenhead of London, England finished in ninth place. Under the U.S.-U.K. Tax Treaty, Mr. Akenhead won’t owe a penny to the IRS. Currently, the United Kingdom considers poker a game of chance; there is no tax on games of chance in the U.K. So Mr. Akenhead’s take-home winnings will be equivalent to his prize money: $1,263,602. Interestingly, if you look at net income after tax, Mr. Akenhead effectively finished in sixth place despite actually finishing ninth.

Here’s a table summarizing the tax bite:

Amount won at Final Table $27,220,989
Tax to IRS $8,150,527
Tax to French Tax Agency $1,391,868
Tax to MI Dept of Treasury $371,796
Tax to NY Dept of Taxation $360,157
Tax to MD Comptroller $319,637
Total Taxes $10,593,985

That’s a total tax bite of 38.92%.

Here’s a second table with the winners sorted by their estimated take-home winnings:

Winner Before-Tax Prize After-Tax Prize
1. Joseph Cada $8,547,042 $4,990,306
2. Darvin Moon $5,182,198 $3,067,595
3. Antoine Saout $3,479,670 $2,087,802
4. Eric Buchman $2,502,890 $1,332,123
5. Jeff Shulman $1,953,452 $1,281,757
9. James Akenhead $1,263,602 $1,263,602
7. Phil Ivey $1,404,014 $879,018
6. Steven Begleiter $1,587,160 $878,921
8. Kevin Schaffel $1,300,231 $845,150
Totals $27,220,259 $16,626,274

As you can see, taxes make a big difference in the true amount of winnings. The real winner at the World Series of Poker was the Internal Revenue Service with Mr. Cada finishing over $3,160,000 behind.

So congratulations to the winners. Just remember that a winner—perhaps the biggest winner of all—is the taxman. As we all know the house always wins.

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