$20 Billion Deficit for California?

Last week I reported that California’s legislative analyst believed that the Bronze Golden State was looking at a $10 billion deficit. State Senator Tom McClintock (R-Thousand Oaks) thinks that’s wrong. Unfortunately, he thinks California is looking at a $20 billion deficit. Ouch.

Senator McClintock notes that the legislative analyst deducted the $4 billion reserve when computing the $10 billion deficit number so we’re really looking at a $14 billion deficit assuming the assumptions in the budget are correct.

The problem is that the budget assumes the status quo—that California’s revenues continue in 2007 like they did in 2006. That’s an unreasonable assumption. Senator McClintock put it well:

“Revenue growth last year was only 2.3 percent; the LAO admits that the economy will deteriorate in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year; and most ominously, our revenue receipts in the first four months of this fiscal year grew only 0.6 percent compared to the first four months of last year, according to the latest data from the state controller’s office. Even the Department of Finance reports only 1.7 percent growth through October 31st. If revenues continue to come within this range, the deficit will be in the $18 to $20 billion range by June.”

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Chicago: The Taxing City

Back in September, I reported that Cook County was looking at increasing its sales tax. That hasn’t happened yet. However, the City of Chicago decided that one good tax increase deserves another. Chicago’s City Council passed a $0.05/bottle water tax and an $86 million property tax increase. Beer, wine, and liquor taxes have also been increased. The tax increases all go into effect on January 1st.

I guess politicians in Chicago have very little to fear from voters. After all, Mayor Daley was just reelected for a sixth term as mayor. Eventually, though, Chicago residents may come to the conclusion that there’s another way of balancing a budget—cutting some of the bureaucracy.

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It’s Time for Earmark Reform

Pork has gotten ridiculous in Congress. My Congressman, John Campbell, is one of the few who has said he will not ask for any earmarks for his district. Meanwhile, David Obey (D-WI), the Chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, said it will be a cold day in Hades before there’s real earmark reform. At least he’s honest.

But there is something we can do. When individuals complain to Congress, results occur. You’ll see below a form that you can fill out to complain about earmarks (aka pork). The elimination of pork and a streamlined tax system go hand and hand. Join me and sign the petition—it’s free and easy.

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For The Birds

One of the vexing matters for tax professionals are side businesses. If they’re profitable, it’s usually not an issue. It’s another Schedule C for the return. However, when they are unprofitable problems can arise if the IRS scrutinizes the return.

The Tax Court looked at this again on Thursday when the decided the case of a Kansas couple who had an exotic animal breeding business. The husband is a successful physician, with a medical practice that brought in $750,000 or more annually. Starting in 1989, the began to breed exotic birds. They then expanded into all sorts of exotic animals, including (but not limited to) “Watusi cattle, miniature donkeys, miniature horses, elk, reindeer, zebras, African antelope, kangaroos, Clydesdale horses, and primates.”

The Kansas couple did some things right: They did keep a separate set of books and a separate bank account. But they didn’t bother with sales receipts to customers. They did treat the employees of their business as employees. They withheld taxes, offered health insurance, etc.

However, they never turned a profit. And when the IRS audited the couple’s tax return for 2001 and 2002, the IRS ruled that the couple could not deduct the losses at the business. The case was then appealed to the Tax Court.

The Court looked at their records, and found them deficient.

“Although we are satisfied that petitioners kept financial records of their breeding activity, we are not convinced that petitioners’ record keeping represented anything other than an effort to substantiate expenses claimed on their return…Petitioners presented no evidence that their books and records were used to review profitability or to implement cost-saving measures. While a taxpayer need not maintain a sophisticated cost accounting system, the taxpayer should keep records that enable the taxpayer to make informed business decisions…Although petitioners kept extensive financial records, they were not used to review and reduce expenses or to enhance the possibility of generating income…Petitioners did not introduce any evidence that they used their financial and breeding records to determine whether a specific breed was profitable…Because petitioners failed to use the existing books and records to minimize their expenses or otherwise foster profitability, the fact that they maintained records does not indicate that the activity was carried on with a profit motive.”

And that basically was the case. Yes, the couple kept records. But the records appeared incomplete, and were apparently not utilized completely. The couple couldn’t show that they expanded breeding of profitable exotic animals because they couldn’t show which animals were profitable. Add to that 16 years of large losses, and the case flew the coop.

Case: Knudsen v. Commissioner, T.C. Memo 2007-340

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Bonds Indicted for Perjury and Obstruction of Justice

Barry Bonds was indicted this afternoon on charges of perjury and obstruction of justice. Bonds was not indicted on any tax charges.

I’m sure this indictment will gets lots of play in the media, and on sports websites such as espn. Given that I reported on Bonds’ possible indictment on tax charges, I felt I should set the record straight. He won’t be facing that issue. Frankly, though, his baseball career may have just ended.

News Story Here

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Spitzer Abandons Internet Tax

It hasn’t been a good year for Governor Eliot Spitzer (D-NY).

First, he’s been accused of using state troopers to spy on political opponents. Next, he proposes to give illegal aliens drivers licenses—a measure that’s overwhelmingly not supported by New York residents. Eventually he abandons the idea. Then he supports a stretching of the definition of “nexus” for state sales taxes to include affiliate programs. Yesterday, he dropped the idea—at least for the time being.

Republicans were going to paint Spitzer as the “Grinch who stole Christmas.” Spitzer won’t have to deal with that, for now.

However, New Yorkers should still watch what happens in Albany. The State Department of Taxation and Finance still believes they’re right in their expansive view of nexus. This plan will likely reappear sometime in 2008.

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New York Tries to Tax the Internet

Governor Eliot Spitzer (D-NY) is leading the way. But it’s a taxing way. The New York Department of Taxation and Finance says that any company that has an affiliate program that has any affiliates in New York must charge sales tax on sales shipped to New York.

Currently, companies must charge sales tax when a business has a “nexus” in the state. That’s usually caused by having a physical presence (an office) or employees in that state. Amazon.com doesn’t have an office or employees in New York. Thus, they haven’t charged New Yorkers sales tax.

However, New York now says that having an affiliate in the state is enough to give a company a nexus in New York. This is an interesting theory, but it could run into difficulties. Glenn Reynolds, the Instanpundit, thinks it wouldn’t stand up in court.

In any case, Governor Spitzer is looking at a $4 billion deficit for next year and has pledged not to increase taxes. The Department of Taxation and Finance calls this a policy clarification. I hope they have a big budget for legal fees as that’s likely where this is headed.

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California Red Ink

“A billion here, a billion there, and pretty soon you’re talking about real money.”—Senator Everett McKinley Dirksen

And that’s the situation in the Bronze Golden State. The Legislative Analyst released her report, and the news is grim. California is looking at a $1.9 billion shortfall for the current fiscal year, and an $8 billion shortfall for 2008-2009. That’s about $10 billion, and that’s quite a bit more than a billion here and a billion there.

Of course, conditions could change. Perhaps the real estate market will have a miraculous comeback in the next few weeks. Perhaps consumers will overspend during the holiday season, leading to increased tax revenues. Perhaps there will be a federal capital gains tax cut, leading to increased state tax revenues. Perhaps there will be more stock options exercised in Silicon Valley than anyone expects. Perhaps the Cubs will win the World Series….

I think you get the idea. If anything, I think the LAO is too conservative about the shortfall. She discounts the possibility of a recession. I think there’s a real possibility of one caused by the housing crisis and energy costs.

In any case, California’s legislators will find themselves between a rock and a hard place soon. They are mandated to have a balanced budget. As the systemic deficit grows, they will be forced to make real reforms: either increasing revenues (taxes) or cutting programs. There aren’t the votes to increase taxes. There haven’t been the votes to cut programs. Soon, there may not be a choice.

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You Can’t Opt Out

Many years ago I remember seeing a Peanuts cartoon where Snoopy wrote to the IRS, “Please remove me from your mailing list.” As much as you and I would like to not have to deal with the IRS, if you don’t file when you should you’re guilty of tax evasion. You can’t opt out from your responsiblities. Yet for the Bozo wing of tax fraudsters opting out is fine…until they get caught.

Take David Struckman of Renton, Washington. Mr. Struckman co-founded Global Prosperity. Global Prosperity claimed that you could elect to not follow the Tax Code by just renouncing the US government’s sovereignty. Global Prosperity sold lots of audiotapes for their purported scheme. Among other things that Global Prosperity suggested was to move your income to offshore accounts, and to hide funds in foreign trusts. Mr. Struckman followed his own advice.

The Seattle Times reported that Mr. Struckman attempted to renounce his Washington state citizenship in 1997, and filed papers in King County (Washington) stating that he was no longer going to follow US laws.

Unfortunately for Mr. Struckman and his other co-founders, the IRS and the Department of Justice wasn’t pleased with the scheme. Indeed, all of the co-founders were indicted in May 2004 on multiple charges of tax evasion. And they were all either found guilty or pleaded guilty to various charges. Mr. Struckman fled to Panama to escape prosecution. He was extradidted in 2006 back to the US. He was found guilty of tax evasion and conspiracy to defraud the US government on Friday.

Mr. Struckman faces up to 20 years at ClubFed plus a possible fine of up to $1 million when he’s sentenced next March. Mr. Struckman’s claim that he acted in good faith and thought he wasn’t violating the law doesn’t hold water. If he asked any competent accountant he would have been laughed out of the room. Yet he and his other co-founders built a $40 million business selling these phony trusts and bad advice to individuals. The reality is that we all have to pay our taxes. As Richard Morrison, Acting Assitant Attorney General for Tax, said, “People who sell or use these scams can expect serious trouble.”

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Traveling

I will be traveling over the next few days. Posts will be minimal to nonexistent until next Wednesday.

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